In the wake of the 2008 federal election and the coalition debacle that followed, public confidence in Canada’s political leaders is at an all-time low. Turnout for the October vote was the weakest in the country’s history, with less than 60 percent of the electorate casting a ballot. In the face of this ever-worsening apathy, a disparate group of activists, academics and ordinary citizens are fighting what they believe to be the root of the crisis: the electoral system itself. By replacing our antiquated system with a form of proportional representation, they hope to breathe life into Canada’s floundering democracy and ensure that everyone gets a seat at the table.
Fighting for a Fair Vote
Larry Gordon is the executive director of Fair Vote Canada, a grassroots, multi-partisan organization dedicated to raising public awareness about electoral reform at the national level. To Gordon, the fact that so many citizens are staying away from the ballot box is no surprise. “Most Canadians kind of have a gut anger about politics,” he says. “But a lot of people haven’t connected the dots between that gut feeling that politics doesn’t work for me, that I don’t really count in politics, and the fact that it’s the voting system that’s creating that dynamic.”
The problem, says Gordon, is Canada’s first-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral system, inherited from the United Kingdom. FPTP divides the country into single-member constituencies, each represented in the House of Commons by the person who gets the most votes in an election, regardless of whether or not they receive a majority of votes. Under this system, the number of seats political parties get in the House of Commons tends to be very different from the proportion of the popular vote those parties receive. Established parties and parties with strong regional power bases are favoured, with emerging movements and smaller, broad-based parties put at a significant disadvantage.
By contrast, electoral systems based on proportional representation are designed to ensure that the number of seats won by each party closely mirrors parties’ take of the popular vote. Types of proportional representation include single transferable vote (STV), in which each constituency is represented by multiple winners chosen by a ranked ballot, and mixed-member proportional representation (MMP), which uses a two-part ballot to elect representatives from both geographic constituencies and non-geographic party lists.
Unlike proportional representation, which tends to lead to coalition governments representing a variety of political views, the skewed nature of FPTP often leads to “phony majorities,” where a party wins a majority of seats despite receiving less than 50 percent of the popular vote. Although Canada’s most recent federal elections have yielded minority parliaments, phony majorities were the norm in the 1980s and 1990s, with Progressive Conservative Brian Mulroney and Liberal Jean Chrétien winning big despite only once winning a majority of the popular vote (Mulroney’s Tories received 50.03 percent of the national vote in 1984, resulting in an astonishing 74.8 percent of House of Commons seats).
According to University of Victoria professor Denis Pilon, phony majorities are the most undemocratic result of our current electoral system. He explains: “When we allow a minority of voters to gain a majority of the legislative seats and a hundred percent of the power, we don’t get very democratic results, we don’t get much deliberation.” Green Party strategist Chris Tindal agrees. “If your voting system is flawed or your democracy isn’t as healthy as it could be,” he says, “then that affects every single decision that a government makes.”
Phony majorities reduce governments’ responsiveness to grassroots activism as well. Says Pilon, “A government that has a phony majority can sit back and ignore ten thousand people on the lawn of the legislature. But a coalition government or a minority government, well they can’t be quite so callous to that degree of mobilization.”
Critics also argue that FPTP perpetuates the under-representation of traditionally oppressed groups, such as women and aboriginals. “Our system is a drag on diversity,” says Pilon. “If you go to a country where no one wants women to get elected, putting in a PR system isn’t going to get any women elected. But if you go to a society where the attitudes have changed and people want women elected, then a PR system will adapt and accommodate that much more quickly than a country using our system.” Pilon points to Sweden’s proportionally elected Rikstag, of which nearly half of the members are female. By comparison, only 22 percent of Canadian MPs elected in 2008 were women.
New Democratic Party Leader Jack Layton summed up the frustration of reform advocates in a recent interview with news website Torontoist: “We are not a modern democracy. We’re using a system that was invented before the telephone. We’ve gone through quantum leaps to perform in other areas, but we’ve left a system of representation in place from the Gutenberg era.”
The Rocky Road to Reform
The drive to modernization has led several provinces to look into overhauling their electoral systems. Between 2004 and 2007, commissions in Prince Edward Island and New Brunswick and citizens’ assemblies in British Columbia and Ontario recommended that their provinces make the change to proportional representation, leading to hopes that the federal government might follow suit.
BC, PEI and Ontario scheduled referenda on electoral reform, but in a trend decried by critics, each government required that for the Yes side to win, it had to receive a supermajority of 60 percent overall support and a simple majority of votes in 60 percent of electoral districts. Only in BC did proportional representation come close to passing that threshold, with 57.7 percent of voters approving of the change. The referendum lost by a significant margin in both PEI and Ontario. (A vote scheduled to be held in New Brunswick was cancelled by the newly elected Liberal government in 2007.)
Fair Vote Canada believes that the biggest force holding back change, both in the provinces and at the national level, is opposition from the political elite. But despite the common perception that electoral reform would most benefit the political left—namely the NDP, which receives far fewer seats in the House of Commons under the current system than its share of the popular vote would suggest, and the Green Party, which has no MPs despite winning nearly seven percent of the vote in 2008—it’s not just centre-right politicians who are fighting against reform.
Besides the Liberals and Conservatives, the biggest winner under FPTP is the left-leaning Bloc Québécois, which in 2008 won nearly two-thirds of Québec seats with only 38.1 percent of the vote in the province. Many provincial New Democrats across Canada hesitate to support electoral reform as well, so long as the current system lets them win the occasional phony majority. Thus, says Gordon, the issue of proportional representation “is not about left versus right, or urban versus rural, or east versus west, or any of the ways we often divide ourselves politically. This is really about grassroots citizens versus [the] political elite and people who have power that they don’t deserve.”
The political elite’s resistance to change is why Fair Vote Canada wants the federal government to let ordinary Canadians decide what kind of voting system they want, rather than a commission of politicians and academics. The assemblies on electoral reform created in BC and Ontario were composed of citizens randomly selected from the provinces’ electoral districts, with mechanisms in place to ensure gender equality and representation from First Nations communities. These citizens’ assemblies could serve as a model for a future body created to debate electoral reform at the national level.
As Goes BC, So Goes the Nation
The political uproar caused by the election of late 2008 and the ensuing coalition crisis has led to an unprecedented level of support for Fair Vote Canada and its work. But there’s still a big hurdle to clear before electoral reform can enter the national limelight.
Because the British Columbia referendum on single transferable vote came so close to passing in 2005, the Liberal provincial government decided to give voters another opportunity to consider the question of reform in 2009. Activists believe that the outcome of the May 12 vote will make or break the national electoral reform movement, making this a critical time for PR supporters across Canada.
So for now, the fight for change shifts back to BC, with the entrenched political elite on high alert and STV supporters gearing up for a much tougher fight in round two. Says Pilon, “It’s going to be a different kind of referendum this time, and I think it’s going to be an uphill battle.”
But it’s a battle the pro-reform side intends to win. Fair Vote Canada is urging activists and supporters from across the country to travel west to join in the effort. With a bit of luck and a lot of hard work, victory could be within their grasp. And if change comes to BC, the rest of Canada could get its chance at a fair vote too.